编号
zgly0001584314
文献类型
期刊论文
文献题名
基于模型的中国东北地区土地利用时空格局变化研究(英文)
作者
夏天
吴文斌
周清波
PeterH.VERBURG
余强毅
杨鹏
叶立明
作者单位
KeyLaboratoryforGeographicalProcessAnalysis&Simulation
HubeiProvince/CollegeofUrban&EnvironmentalSciences
CentralChinaNormalUniversity
KeyLaboratoryofAgri–Informatics
MinistryofAgriculture/InstituteofAgriculturalResourcesandRegi
母体文献
Journal of Geographical Sciences
年卷期
2016年02期
年份
2016
分类号
F301.2
关键词
landusechange
CLUE-S
NortheastChina
two-waysimulation
文摘内容
Spatially explicit modeling techniques recently emerged as an alternative to monitor land use changes. This study adopted the well-known CLUE-S(Conversion of Land Use and its Effects at Small regional extent) model to analyze the spatio-temporal land use changes in a hot-spot in Northeast China(NEC). In total,13 driving factors were selected to statistically analyze the spatial relationships between biophysical and socioeconomic factors and individual land use types. These relationships were then used to simulate land use dynamic changes during 1980–2010 at a 1 km spatial resolution,and to capture the overall land use change patterns. The obtained results indicate that increases in cropland area in NEC were mainly distributed in the Sanjiang Plain and the Songnen Plain during 1980–2000,with a small reduction between 2000 and 2010. An opposite pattern was identified for changes in forest areas. Forest decreases were mainly distributed in the Khingan Mountains and the Changbai Mountains between 1980 and 2000,with a slight increase during 2000–2010. The urban areas have expanded to occupy surrounding croplands and grasslands,particularly after the year 2000. More attention is needed on the newly gained croplands,which have largely replaced wetlands in the Sanjiang Plain over the last decade. Land use change patterns identified here should be considered in future policy making so as to strengthen local eco-environmental security.